Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingHodge conjecture solved by June 2027 71.9%Koploper van 14 uitkomsten
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Verouderd9 sep 26, 00:10 UTC1 jan 29, 08:00 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
A problem is considered solved if it is deemed solved by a majority consensus of the most expert mathematicians, according to my best impressions, to avoid resolving on technicalities.
- For example, for the Odd Perfect Numbers question, by my current understanding of the statement, proving that an odd perfect number exists (including via a non-constructive proof) will count as a disproof of the conjecture and thus solved.
- "by June 2027" means "by EoM June 2027".
- Same for years.
- Poincaré and NS count toward ≥4 and ≥6.
- For the option the named outcome, saturated means 100% excluding the problems deemed impossible.