What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's?
GeopolitiekOne-OffMiddle EastRussia / Ukraine3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 71.2%
Voorspellers
8
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd29 aug 26, 08:29 UTC30 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
This market resolves to YES if a formal, comprehensive peace agreement ending the armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine is signed by both belligerents and successfully remains in effect for 180 consecutive calendar days before a formal, comprehensive peace agreement ending the conflict involving Iran achieves the same.
- This market resolves to NO if a formal, comprehensive peace agreement ending the conflict involving Iran is signed by the required belligerents and successfully remains in effect for 180 consecutive calendar days before a formal, comprehensive peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine achieves the same.
- Signatory & Conflict Scope
- Russia–Ukraine: Must be signed by the executive leadership or authorized plenipotentiaries of both Russia and Ukraine.
- Iran Conflict: Must be signed by the executive leadership or authorized plenipotentiaries of Iran AND either (a) the United States, (b) Israel, or (c) both.
- Signing with one state satisfies the condition provided all hostilities between Iran and that signatory state formally terminate under the treaty terms.
Open markten
Geopolitics
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+5 extra uitkomsten
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- 24u volume
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+17 extra uitkomsten
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- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 71% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's? afgewikkeld?
- What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's? wordt naar verwachting op 30 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market resolves to YES if a formal, comprehensive peace agreement ending the armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine is signed by both belligerents and successfully remains in effect for 180 consecutive calendar days before a formal, comprehensive peace agreement ending the conflict involving Iran achieves the same.