Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingOther 0.2%-0.2%Koploper van 16 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
43
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 22 minuten geleden
4 okt 22, 2:521 jan 70, 5:00
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
The United States7%
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This market resolves once any nuclear weapon is detonated.
- (Including tests and civilian uses.)
- The blast must be independently confirmed by multiple sources and not subject to significant uncertainty as to whether it took place.
- For reference, the most recent nuclear test was in 2017 by North Korea.
- North Korea is the only country confirmed to have detonated a nuclear device since 1998, though there are suspicions of more recent secret tests by China and Russia.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_nuclear_weapons_tests