US-Iran nuclear deal [Kalshi] resolves the same as US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal [Polymarket]
GeopolitiekOne-OffMiddle East3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 78%
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6
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd13 jul 26, 20:49 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
LimitlessWill a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026?
FutuurUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31 ? [Not Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWill GTA6 release on PC on the same day as it releases on Console?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiRegels
Polymarket and Kalshi have a tendency to resolve differently and controversially.
- Recently Polymarket resolved Yes to a permanent peace deal with the Iran and US, while Kalshi did not.
- Resolves yes, if the following markets resolve Yes more or less to the same news:
- https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusairanagreement/us-iran-nuclear-deal/kxusairanagreement-27?op_market_ticker=KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG&op_order_side=no&op_side=BUY&op_order_type=limit
- https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-20260621201254412
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 470,8K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 35,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 100,1K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor US-Iran nuclear deal [Kalshi] resolves the same as US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal [Polymarket]?
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 78% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt US-Iran nuclear deal [Kalshi] resolves the same as US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal [Polymarket] afgewikkeld?
- US-Iran nuclear deal [Kalshi] resolves the same as US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal [Polymarket] wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt US-Iran nuclear deal [Kalshi] resolves the same as US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal [Polymarket] afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Polymarket and Kalshi have a tendency to resolve differently and controversially.