U.S. gov/any American placed on trial in international court for violation of international law relating to war in Iran?
GeopolitiekOne-OffGezondheid en geneeskundeMidden-OostenMisdaad en justitie1j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 64.6%
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd27 mei 26, 16:31 UTC1 jan 28, 17:00 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on or before December 31, 2027 (11:59 PM UTC), either the United States government or any U.S. citizen is formally placed on trial before a recognized international court for violations of international law related to the military conflict in Iran that escalated in 2026.
- If no such trial begins by this date, the market will resolve to NO.
- Definitions:
- International Court: This is strictly limited to the International Court of Justice (ICJ), the International Criminal Court (ICC), or a United Nations-mandated ad-hoc international criminal tribunal.
- Bilateral arbitral bodies (such as the Iran-United States Claims Tribunal) and domestic national courts do not qualify.