UK Autumn Budget 2026: will the bank surcharge be raised to 8% or more?
Misdaad en justitieOne-OffBedrijfslevenRegelgeving56minManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 52.1%
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden
21 okt 26, 22:25 UTC28 okt 26, 12:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
UK Autumn Budget 2026: will the Warm Home Discount be raised above £150?
Manifold MarketsUK Autumn Budget 2026: will the Energy Profits Levy be raised or extended?
Manifold MarketsUK Autumn Budget 2026: will employer NICs be cut or the secondary threshold raised?
Manifold MarketsUK Autumn Budget 2026: will Local Housing Allowance rates be raised for April 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Amazon win the FTC ad surcharge lawsuit?
KalshiUK Autumn Budget 2026: will holiday lets be moved from business rates to council tax?
Manifold MarketsRegels
The bank corporation tax surcharge is charged at 3% on banks' taxable profits above a £100 million group allowance.
- The Guardian reported on 15 October 2026 that industry figures expect Healey to raise it back to 8%, and Bloomberg reported that a bank tax rise is among the measures submitted to the OBR.
- YES if the Budget sets the surcharge rate at 8% or more, from any date.
- If the surcharge has more than one rate (for example a higher rate on profits above a higher allowance, or different rates for different banks), YES if any of them is 8% or more.
- A rise to a rate below 8% resolves NO, as do changes only to the allowance, changes to the bank levy, and a new tax on bank profits of a different kind.
- The separate bank taxes market resolves YES on a surcharge rise to any rate, a higher bank levy rate, or a new tax on bank profits or reserves, but not on a change only to the allowance.
