Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingPrison for life without possibility of parole 43.8%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd18 sep 25, 23:47 UTC18 sep 27, 23:40 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Tyler Robinson convicted of murder by July 31st 2027?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson Sentence? (Ultimate Result)
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketWill Tyler Robinson be alive on December 31st, 2026?
Manifold MarketsLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegels
Resolves based on the verdict handed down in the first trial, without regard to appeals or other later outcomes.
- Plea deal results included, this does not require the case to go to trial.
- Inspired by @/realDonaldTrump/tyler-robinson-sentence but intended to be shorter timeframe and cleaner.
- "Other" includes weird but technically possible results like fine or community service or other guilty pleas that result in punishment but no jail time.
- "the named outcome" includes mistrials, Robinson dying before a result, or other outcomes that do not produce a result.
- This market will not resolve n/a.
Open markten
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Totaal volume
- € 347,6K
- 24u volume
- € 12,4K
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 9,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 6,8K
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 498,6K
- 24u volume
- € 6,1K
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Tyler Robinson Sentence (first result)??
- Manifold Markets prijst Prison for life without possibility of parole op 44% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Tyler Robinson Sentence (first result)? afgewikkeld?
- Tyler Robinson Sentence (first result)? wordt naar verwachting op 18 september 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Tyler Robinson Sentence (first result)? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves based on the verdict handed down in the first trial, without regard to appeals or other later outcomes.