Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 23 jul 2026, 04:20 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJune 30th 36.5%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 dagen geleden
Verouderd26 mrt 26, 7:1731 dec 26, 8:17
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
April 30th5%
Volumetrend
$2522 jul2d aan data23 jul
Gerelateerde Markten
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
€ 0Ja: 6%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
€ 2,8 mln.July 31: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
€ 595,6KJuly 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
€ 47,1KBefore Aug 1, 2026: 0%
KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Trump say during his meeting with Netanyahu?
€ 8KCeasefire: 27%KALSHI
KALSHIWill a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
€ 4,7KJa: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActief in deze onderwerpen
Gerelateerd Nieuws
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM raceBlockchain.News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Hormuz traffic 'Yes' sinks to 1.15% after Trump strike threatBlockchain.NewsRegels
Resolves to https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730
- Based on the ratio of the 7 day moving average to the one from the year prior on the listed date.
- If the ratio is >1, resolves to 100%.
- On May 31st, let's say the 7 day moving average was reported to be 14 and the one from the year prior is 100.
- Then this option resolves to 14%.
- I will round to the nearest percentage point.