Manifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdDeze markt is gesloten en wacht op bevestigde afwikkeling.
Niet-geverifieerde afwikkelingsdata
Deze uitkomst is afgeleid of wordt niet ondersteund door provider-grade afwikkelingsbewijs.
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling≥$1T 100%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
40
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 28 dagen geleden
Verouderd22 apr 26, 3:491 jul 26, 3:59
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
≥$1T100%
≥$1.25T100%
≥$1.5T97.6%
≥$1.75T94%
≥$2T72.8%
≥$2.25T81.1%
≥$2.5T42.3%
≥$3T1%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Deze markt is gesloten. Oefenhandel is alleen beschikbaar op open markten.
Platforms vergelijken· ≥$1T
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste algemeen72% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | Laag | 100% | — | € 12,3K | € 0 | 27 dagen geleden | Openen → |
| Manifold MarketsDeze pagina | — | 100% | — | — | — | 28 dagen geleden |
Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket
Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?
0.7 ptsGesloten
+3.5pt100%
+65.3pt100%
+3.7pt100%
+12 extra uitkomsten
19 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 2,7 mln.
24u volume€ 12,3K
POLYMARKETRegels
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-06-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-06-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Gerelateerde Markten
SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2027
€ 114,1≥$2T: 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
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Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?
€ 87,8Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization": 78.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSOpenAI highest valuation by end of September 2026
€ 38≥$0.6T: 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Anthropic IPO by __?
€ 11,4KDecember 31,: 69%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
€ 6,2KBefore Sep 1, 2026: 2%
KALSHI
KALSHI
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
€ 5,4KBefore Oct 1, 2026: 17%KALSHI
KALSHIActief in deze onderwerpen
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Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-06-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-06-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).