Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 05:41 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 93.7%
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd7 nov 25, 12:03 UTC1 jan 27, 12:03 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Sarah Anderson et al prove Stability AI, Midjourney, and DeviantArt violated copyright laws in claim 1?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
PolymarketOpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic stock begin public trading on or before November 6, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by October 31?
PolymarketWill Anthropic's public Form S-1 appear on SEC EDGAR by October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Sarah Friar remains the chief financial officer of OpenAI on January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be determined by official OpenAI announcements, SEC filings, or major news sources confirming her employment status on that date.
- If Friar departs before January 1, 2027 and is replaced, the market resolves NO.
- If she takes a leave of absence but retains the CFO title, the market resolves YES.
- Sarah Friar has been the chief financial officer of OpenAI since June 2024.
