Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 93.7%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd7 nov 25, 12:03 UTC1 jan 27, 12:03 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Bari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief through 2026?
Manifold MarketsBari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief till
Manifold MarketsWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketAnthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic IPO before OpenAI?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Sarah Friar remains the chief financial officer of OpenAI on January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be determined by official OpenAI announcements, SEC filings, or major news sources confirming her employment status on that date.
- If Friar departs before January 1, 2027 and is replaced, the market resolves NO.
- If she takes a leave of absence but retains the CFO title, the market resolves YES.
- Sarah Friar has been the chief financial officer of OpenAI since June 2024.
Open markten
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 12,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 182,3K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,4 mln.
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Sarah Friar remains OpenAI CFO on January 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 94% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Sarah Friar remains OpenAI CFO on January 1, 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Sarah Friar remains OpenAI CFO on January 1, 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Sarah Friar remains OpenAI CFO on January 1, 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria