Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 96.2%
Voorspellers
144
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden
16 nov 23, 19:02 UTC31 jan 27, 23:30 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Is Attention All You Need?
Manifold MarketsWill the "Attention Is All You Need" Paper be given the Test of Time Award in NeurIPS 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI make a new breakthrough on the hardest math problems, as defined by Epoch AI, by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2028?
Manifold MarketsBy 2030 will 𝕏 show clear evidence of becoming a collective consciousness?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2043?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market simulates the wager between Jonathan Frankie (@jefrankle) and Sasha Rush (@srush_nlp)
- Details can be fount at https://www.isattentionallyouneed.com/
- On January 1, 2027, a Transformer-like model will continue to hold the state-of-the-art position in most benchmarked tasks in natural language processing.
- [image]Other markets on the same:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/HanchiSun/is-attention-all-you-need?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)(https://manifold.markets/embed/ICRainbow/on-january-1-2027-a-transformerlike?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)
