Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 82.4%
Voorspellers
37
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
25 nov 24, 23:02 UTC30 dec 30, 16:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution Criteria
- Collective Intelligence (ANY of these):
- Platform predicts major events through emergent patterns before traditional methods (like Asimov's Multivac)
- Mathematical or scientific breakthrough emerges from seemingly unrelated posts with no single author
- New symbolic language evolves within hours across the platform (like in Ted Chiang's "Story of Your Life")
- Documented cases of "X-time" where users globally report altered time perception (like "fleet time" in Vinge's "A Fire Upon the Deep")
