Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingAccident 81.6%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd7 jul 26, 05:15 UTC1 jan 27, 06:13 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Oliver Tree is still alive
Manifold MarketsWhen will Diddy (Sean Combs) die, of any cause?
Manifold MarketsWill the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegels
Resolves according to the outcome of the investigation by Brazilian authorities.
- My son told me to make this market, and also to include this sentence.
Open markten
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Totaal volume
- € 347,6K
- 24u volume
- € 12,4K
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 9,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 6,8K
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 498,6K
- 24u volume
- € 6,1K
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Oliver Tree cause of death?
- Manifold Markets prijst Accident op 82% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Oliver Tree cause of death afgewikkeld?
- Oliver Tree cause of death wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Oliver Tree cause of death afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves according to the outcome of the investigation by Brazilian authorities.