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Vertraagd30 dec 23, 17:44 UTC2 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
The New York Times, in its lawsuit against OpenAI, seeks the deletion of all language models trained with data that includes any Times articles.
- Should that happen, it is likely that a precedent will be set that prevents other companies from including articles from any newspaper in their training data.
- At the same time, it will be impossible to enforce such a provision against open source models, some of which will have anonymous authors.
- Effective altruists like @EliezerYudkowsky have often criticized open source AI as dangerous and believe that limitations on the distribution of model architectures and weights are preferable.
- This market resolves to YES if:
- The lawsuit is decided in the New York Times' favor, either by judgment or by settlement
Open markten
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 135,2K
- 24u volume
- € 102,7K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
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POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 325K
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- 1480+-2.5pt66%
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- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 91% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety? afgewikkeld?
- Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The New York Times, in its lawsuit against OpenAI, seeks the deletion of all language models trained with data that includes any Times articles.