Manifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: More than 50 (99%)
Afgewikkeld: 18 aug 2026, 01:54
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingMore than 50 99%+1.0ptKoploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
12
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+1.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt eergisteren
Verouderd22 dec 25, 4:2418 aug 26, 1:54
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
00.1%
1-50.1%
6-100.6%
11-500.2%
More than 5099%
99%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
Regels
What counts is the problem marked as being resolved in https://www.erdosproblems.com
- Update 2026-01-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution timing clarification: The market will resolve based on when problems are marked as resolved on the Erdös Problems website in 2026, regardless of when the actual mathematical solution was discovered or published.
Open markten
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 255,6K
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $72,500 or above97.5%
- $73,000 or above97%
- $73,500 or above97%
+36 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 143,6K
- 24u volume
- € 130,5K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+8.5pt82%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.9pt97%
+10 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.0pt95%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.6pt68.6%
- Grok-2.1pt10.5%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt9.5%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 7,8 mln.
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BMW Championship Winner
- XRP price on August 21
- XRP price on August 31
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Number of open Erdös problems resolved in 2026?
- Manifold Markets prijst More than 50 op 99% per 19 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Number of open Erdös problems resolved in 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Number of open Erdös problems resolved in 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 18 augustus 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Number of open Erdös problems resolved in 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: What counts is the problem marked as being resolved in https://www.erdosproblems.com