Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling0 72.9%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
30
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd7 dec 25, 05:48 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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PolymarketRegels
This is an attempt to make an overall risk index; it will resolve exactly according to these underlying markets:
- @/EvanDaniel/will-any-country-formally-leave-the-OAASCz9ztA
- @/EvanDaniel/will-an-aboveground-nuclear-test-ta-dPUQqQCtQL
- @/EvanDaniel/will-there-be-a-newly-major-war-inv-2LO0IgPqzz
- @/IsaacKing/will-any-nuclear-weapon-be-detonate-602fc87e774f
- @/EvanDaniel/will-any-country-that-is-not-curren-pNszzP2O6E