[Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES?
Business & CorporateMacro & Economy2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling[AAA] At least 1 market resolves to YES. 100%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
34
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd16 nov 23, 00:06 UTC18 sep 28, 03:59 UTC
Trends
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FutuurRegels
A Credit Default Swap is a financial derivative that allows investors to hedge or speculate on the credit risk of a particular entity.
- Essentially, a CDS is an insurance policy against the default of a borrower.
- In the context of prediction markets like Manifold, we can draw a parallel by considering the likelihood of certain events (or 'defaults') occurring.
- In this case, this market would assess the likelihood of various other markets resolving to a 'Yes' outcome.
- This approach mirrors the CDS concept, as participants are essentially speculating on the 'default' (or outcome) of these other markets.
- Here are the ten open yes/no markets with the most traders.
Open markten
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 180,1K
- 24u volume
- € 180,1K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt57.6%
- 65-89+13.0pt34.3%
- 90-114+0.5pt4%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt97%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet+0.1pt1%
+6 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 182,1K
- 24u volume
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 60,4K
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor [Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES??
- Manifold Markets prijst [AAA] At least 1 market resolves to YES. op 100% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt [Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES? afgewikkeld?
- [Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES? wordt naar verwachting op 18 september 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt [Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: A Credit Default Swap is a financial derivative that allows investors to hedge or speculate on the credit risk of a particular entity.