Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingMerch store 100%Koploper van 31 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
208
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+1.2 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd5 jan 26, 23:40 UTC1 jan 27, 07:59 UTC
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Regels
Which features will Manifold ship in 2026? The feature must appear live on the site before the end of 2026.
- (External PRs that have been merged will count.)
- Update 2026-01-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the named outcome: Must be a real subscription (not a one-time purchase without automatic monthly payments).
- Can potentially be in Mana rather than real currency.
- Update 2026-05-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the named outcome: This answer does not need to be implemented by the Manifold team directly — external PRs that have been merged will also count toward resolution.
Open markten
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.6pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+0.4pt12.6%
- Gemini+1.6pt10.7%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 87,4K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-11.0pt69%
- December 15,-8.5pt65%
- November 30,-5.0pt50%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+18.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 228,5K
- 24u volume
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 24.3%+13.0pt99%
- Above 24.7%+30.0pt99%
- Above 23.6%+1.0pt99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt25%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt19.8%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.7%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.55%99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.25%99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 239,3K
- 24u volume
- € 53,3K
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Anthropic lab leak by which date?
- Best AI this week
- When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Manifold features launched in 2026?
- Manifold Markets prijst Merch store op 100% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Manifold features launched in 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold features launched in 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Manifold features launched in 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Which features will Manifold ship in 2026? The feature must appear live on the site before the end of 2026.