Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingEnd of 2029 32.8%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
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7
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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7d wijziging
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Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd4 apr 26, 17:00 UTC11 apr 40, 16:33 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Where will this paper be accepted? (Do Black Holes Exist? by Modesto, Rattu)
Manifold MarketsWhere will this paper be accepted? (Black Mirrors:CPT-Symmetric Alternatives to Black Holes by Tzanavaris, Boyle, Turok)
Manifold MarketsAre naked singularities from spinning black holes physically possible?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegels
Some mathematicians claim to derive weak lightlike singularity inside rotating black holes, without accounting for matter accretion.
- Some physicists claim that the lightlike singularity goes away once accretion is accounted for:
- As long as a black hole continues to accrete, and thereby to generate ingoing and outgoing streams near the inner horizon, the inflationary growth rate remains finite, and there is no null singularity.
- A proposition resolves to Yes, if by that date a publicly available mathematical proof shows that, within the theoretical framework of General Relativity, rotating black holes with accretion do not contain lightlike (null) singularity.
Open markten
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 211K
- 24u volume
- € 110,5K
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 21,3K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,2K
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
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- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
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- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Lightlike singularity in black holes overthrown by ??
- Manifold Markets prijst End of 2029 op 33% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Lightlike singularity in black holes overthrown by ? afgewikkeld?
- Lightlike singularity in black holes overthrown by ? wordt naar verwachting op 11 april 2040 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Lightlike singularity in black holes overthrown by ? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Some mathematicians claim to derive weak lightlike singularity inside rotating black holes, without accounting for matter accretion.