Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 04:28 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 54.6%
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd27 feb 25, 19:48 UTC1 jan 30, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
What will the next world-wide crisis be?
Manifold MarketsWhich Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?
Manifold MarketsAny of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
Manifold MarketsMearsheimer prediction: Will Russia attack European countries that are not Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsWill Humanity Obstruct the Sun before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegels
I have hypothesis russia is up to no good in Siberia and arctic, allowing methane leaks to accelrating the climate change and warming to melt ice caps and access land and the resources, adding warm water ports.
- Help me define it better, it is the working theory.
- Like pipeline leak back in 2020 or whatever, what are they getting up to there? Incompetence or maybe the accelerationists.
- Double points of the Elon is involved.
- Evidence comes out by 2030, market is resolving to the yes, if none, no.
