Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling2030-2039 41%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd25 mrt 25, 01:15 UTC1 jan 00, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsCPI in October
KalshiPennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
KalshiRegels
Resolution Criteria:
- For a given date to be resolved to YES at least one of the following must occur:
- The broader unemployment rate (U-6) reaches 50% or higher
- The labor force participation rate drops by 50% or more from its 2024 baseline of 62.5%.
- This question is concerned with lost jobs and not the number of hours worked per week.
- If that number goes from 40 hours/week to 20 hours/week or less that will not matter to the resolution of this question.