Deze markt is beslist: 2026 (97.6%)
Afgewikkeld: 27 okt 2026, 15:06
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Winnende Uitkomst
2026
Op 7 dagen afstand
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Op 24 uur afstand
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Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 27 okt 2026, 19:50 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
20250.6%
202697.6%
20270.7%
20280.6%
20290.4%
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KalshiRegels
GPQA is a graduate-level, 448-item multiple-choice benchmark covering biology, chemistry and physics; it was designed to be “Google-proof,” defeating web-search tricks and challenging even PhD holders ― human experts average ≈ 65% accuracy, while skilled non-experts manage only 34%.
- Because GPQA questions are publicly released, leaderboard results come from independent community test harnesses (e.g., Vellum AI, LLM-Stats, xAI livestreams).
- The best-known AI score today (July 2025) is 88.4%
- Resolution criteria
- The market resolves to the first year in which ALL the following conditions hold:
- Score threshold – A single fully-autonomous system achieves ≥ 95% average accuracy on the standard 448-question GPQA.