In the eventuality of a nuclear weapon being used, which country is most likely to detonate it first?
GeopolitiekAI7jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling🇮🇱 Israel 27.2%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
92
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd20 aug 23, 04:09 UTC31 dec 33, 15:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
In the eventuality of a nuclear weapon being used, where it will be dropped first?
Manifold MarketsWill any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2026? (Tests included)
Manifold MarketsWill the United States government detonate a nuclear weapon anywhere in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich actor will be the next to detonate a nuclear weapon offensively?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Eco currency start being used in the ECOWAS?
FutuurNew nuclear weapon tests in 2026?
FutuurRegels
First nuclear weapon detonate: which country is responsible for it
- Nuclear tests don't count, only actual weapon used for war or strategic purpose connecting to war.
- Update 2025-05-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator confirmed that a nuclear detonation under a 'last warning' doctrine would count.
- This includes scenarios such as:
- A single nuclear strike
- Intended as a communication strategy or to show resolve
