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Helped with >80% confidence 64.1%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
10
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd30 mrt 23, 02:17 UTC1 jan 31, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
https://time.com/6266923/ai-eliezer-yudkowsky-open-letter-not-enough/
Open markten
AI
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+8.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 267,3K
- 24u volume
- € 95,6K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.3pt69.2%
- ChatGPT-1.1pt13.5%
- Gemini+1.3pt10.6%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,1 mln.
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-5.0pt72%
- December 15,+4.5pt65%
- November 30,-7.0pt44%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.65%+4.0pt99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.55%99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 272K
- 24u volume
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 24.3%+8.0pt99%
- Above 24%+6.0pt99%
- Above 23.6%99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 211,1K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T-0.4pt25.3%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt20%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.8%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best AI this week
- Next Claude Opus released on?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor In 2030, will Yudkowsky think his 2023 Time op-ed helped or harmed our chances??
- Manifold Markets prijst Helped with >80% confidence op 64% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt In 2030, will Yudkowsky think his 2023 Time op-ed helped or harmed our chances? afgewikkeld?
- In 2030, will Yudkowsky think his 2023 Time op-ed helped or harmed our chances? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2031 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt In 2030, will Yudkowsky think his 2023 Time op-ed helped or harmed our chances? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: https://time.com/6266923/ai-eliezer-yudkowsky-open-letter-not-enough/