Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling🇮🇷 Iran 53.9%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
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42
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
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Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd4 mrt 26, 12:37 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030
Manifold MarketsWill there be a nuclear war before 2100?
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Manifold MarketsWill there be more nuclear warheads in the world in 2030 than 2023?
Manifold MarketsWhich Chinese tech companies announce a formal AI partnership with a Russian entity before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada sign a binding procurement contract for the Saab Gripen fighter before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegels
If there is a nuclear detonation in 2026, resolves YES to all countries listed that detonate nuclear weapons in 2026, and NO to all countries that didn't.
- Otherwise, all options resolve N/A. Update 2026-03-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Nuclear tests (non-combat detonations) count toward resolution, not just wartime use.
