If Kenya leads a military intervention in Haiti will democratic elections be held before 2028
GeopolitiekOne-Off1j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 77.3%
Voorspellers
11
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd22 mrt 24, 21:41 UTC2 jan 28, 06:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
Conditional market.
- If Kenya does not lead a military intervention by 2026 this will resolve N/A
- Sister market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/NivlacM/if-the-us-leads-a-military-interven)Update 2025-05-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated that for this market, the distinction between a 'military intervention' by Kenya and 'sending policemen' is not meaningful.
- The current Kenyan intervention (e.g., related to sending policemen) will count as a 'military intervention'.