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1 GW to 3 GW 33%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Verouderd16 okt 24, 17:51 UTC16 jan 35, 04:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will a Small Modular Reactor (SMR) enter commercial operation in the US before 2030?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?
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KalshiRegels
What will be the total capacity of commercial, civilian nuclear small modular reactors (SMRs) that will be online in the US on January 1, 2035, in gigawatts?
- Reactors must be sending energy to the grid or an end user.
- I'll defer somewhat to self-descriptions or convention as to what counts as an SMR.
- Probably means <400 MW but I'll see what people are saying in the future.
- But must be modular/factory-assembled.
- Left bounds inclusive, right bounds exclusive.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 470,8K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
- € 100,1K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor How much small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) capacity in US by 2035??
- Manifold Markets prijst 1 GW to 3 GW op 33% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt How much small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) capacity in US by 2035? afgewikkeld?
- How much small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) capacity in US by 2035? wordt naar verwachting op 16 januari 2035 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt How much small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) capacity in US by 2035? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: What will be the total capacity of commercial, civilian nuclear small modular reactors (SMRs) that will be online in the US on January 1, 2035, in gigawatts?