Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Guillotines have a come back by 2030?

Manifold Markets prijst No op 85.4% per 29 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Guillotines have a come back by 2030 afgewikkeld?

Guillotines have a come back by 2030 wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves yes if there is one public execution held with a guillotine by 2030 with video evidence.

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerd

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

Nee 85.4%

Voorspellers

Vraagtype

binary

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden

Verouderd

27 sep 26, 03:32 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Regels

Resolves yes if there is one public execution held with a guillotine by 2030 with video evidence.

Update 2026-09-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The execution must meet the following criteria:
Can occur anywhere in the world.
Must be a judicial action.
Must be held in public and ceremonially by a domestic actor for a domestic audience.
Snuff films and ISIS-style videos do not count.