Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
03 Grok 5 released before 20270401 i.e.01 April 2027 80%Koploper van 22 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
12
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+30.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 32 minuten geleden
19 aug 26, 13:4831 dec 28, 23:59
Trends
Regels
Generally I am excluding Starship projects because I have a Starship megamarket at @/ChristopherRandles/starship-milestone-dates-megamarket
- Feel free to suggest other projects that might be added.
- Market clarifications 01 Cybercab is any Tesla 2 seater vehicle i.e. doesn't matter if called different things in different places.
- Operating means autonomously without any Tesla safety monitor or driver in vehicles.
- Less than 10 is just testing, 10 or more operating is needed to be considered operating.
- Robotaxi means available for public hire.
Open markten
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 255,6K
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $72,500 or above97.5%
- $73,000 or above97%
- $73,500 or above97%
+36 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 143,6K
- 24u volume
- € 130,5K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+8.5pt82%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.9pt97%
+10 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.0pt95%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.6pt68.6%
- Grok-2.1pt10.5%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt9.5%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 7,8 mln.
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BMW Championship Winner
- XRP price on August 21
- XRP price on August 31
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Elon projects dates megamarket?
- Manifold Markets prijst 03 Grok 5 released before 20270401 i.e.01 April 2027 op 80% per 21 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Elon projects dates megamarket afgewikkeld?
- Elon projects dates megamarket wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Elon projects dates megamarket afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Generally I am excluding Starship projects because I have a Starship megamarket at @/ChristopherRandles/starship-milestone-dates-megamarket