Did the Russians intend to destroy the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if they intended a significantly lesser sabotage)
One-OffRusland / OekraïneGeopolitiek1jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 56.2%
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40
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd9 jun 23, 16:17 UTC2 jan 28, 04:59 UTC
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This market is specifically asking whether the Russians deliberately blew up the dam completely vs whether they intended a lesser sabotage.
- An allegedly intercepted phone call released by Ukraine suggested that the Russians intended to sabotage the dam but not to completely destroy it.
- That is what I am trying to get at with this new market.
- Note that this market resolves NO in any of the following scenarios:
- If anybody else other than the Russians blew it up
- If it was mismanagement rather than intentional sabotage
