Conditional on China Not Supplying Arm to Russia in 2023, will China invade Taiwan before the end of 2028?
GeopolitiekOne-OffRussia / UkraineChina2j
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Nee 79.8%
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9
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd1 mrt 23, 02:28 UTC31 dec 28, 15:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Conditional on the next US President being Republican, will China invade Taiwan during the next presidential term?
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PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketRegels
This market resolves, no later than end of 2028, with criterion identical to the first market below, with the exception that, if the second market resolves to something other than No, this market will resolve to N/A immediately.
- In the case that the invasion occurs before end of 2023, this resolves N/A. (https://manifold.markets/embed/mrb/will-china-invade-taiwan-before-the)(https://manifold.markets/embed/footgun/will-china-supply-arms-to-russia-in)