Conditional on China Not Supplying Arm to Russia in 2023, will China invade Taiwan before the end of 2028?
GeopolitiekOne-OffRusland / OekraïneChina2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 77.2%
Nee 77.2%Voorspellers
10
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd1 mrt 23, 02:28 UTC31 dec 28, 15:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will China invade Taiwan before the end of Ukraine-Russian war?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan before 2029?
Manifold MarketsConditional on the next US President being Republican, will China invade Taiwan during the next presidential term?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan during the term of the next POTUS?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketRegels
This market resolves, no later than end of 2028, with criterion identical to the first market below, with the exception that, if the second market resolves to something other than No, this market will resolve to N/A immediately.
- In the case that the invasion occurs before end of 2023, this resolves N/A. (https://manifold.markets/embed/mrb/will-china-invade-taiwan-before-the)(https://manifold.markets/embed/footgun/will-china-supply-arms-to-russia-in)