"Conditional AI pause" commitment triggers antitrust enforcement by EOY 2028?
AIOne-OffMisdaad en justitie2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingOpenAI 10%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Verouderd14 jul 26, 00:17 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolves YES: IF {AI Company} makes a public commitment to a conditional pause of AI capabilities AND {AI Company} suffers antitrust repercussions as a consequence.
- Resolves N/A: IF no such commitment is made by {AI Company}.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Definitions:
- public: on the company website or official corporate social media accounts (eg CEO's twitter account doesn't qualify)
- conditional: commitment activates only when other companies also pause
