Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 12:37 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBefore 2027-02-16 98%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
71
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+0.7 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd5 sep 26, 16:27 UTC16 feb 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will Anthropic release its next Claude Fable model (newer than Fable 5.1)?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will the next Claude Fable be released?
Manifold MarketsNext Claude Fable released before Anthropic IPO?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Claude Fable 5 score on ARC-AGI-3?
Manifold MarketsClaude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?
PolymarketRegels
The '+' means any version at or above 5.2 counts: if Anthropic skips 5.2 and releases Claude Fable 5.3 or Fable 6, that still counts for the purpose of this market.
- Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called Claude Fable 5.2, will also count.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
