Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBefore 2050 70.3%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
81
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd18 okt 25, 21:15 UTC1 jan 50, 22:13 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
If the ICJ rules Israel is not committing genocide in Gaza, will this appear on Wikipedia's main page within 30 days?
Manifold MarketsGaza genocide still labeled as genocide by Wikipedia in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza, Palestine?
Manifold MarketsWill an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketForeign intervention in Gaza by which date?
PolymarketU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve when Wikipedia stops identifying Gaza as a genocide for a 168 hour period.
- Then all dates after the current date resolve YES and all dates before resolve NO.
- Specifically, the market will resolve if:
- The English Wikipedia article currently titled "Gaza genocide" is either deleted, renamed to a title that does not include "genocide" (e.g., "Gaza conflict," "Israel-Hamas war allegations," or similar without the term "genocide" directly asserting it), or its lead section (the first paragraph) is fundamentally altered to remove the assertion that the conflict is a genocide.
- This needs to hold for a week.
Open markten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor By when will Wikipedia stop considering Gaza a genocide??
- Manifold Markets prijst Before 2050 op 70% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt By when will Wikipedia stop considering Gaza a genocide? afgewikkeld?
- By when will Wikipedia stop considering Gaza a genocide? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2050 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt By when will Wikipedia stop considering Gaza a genocide? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution Criteria