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Anthropic highest annualized revenue run rate by end of September 2026

Corporate Actions AIOne-OffTech2mnd

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerd

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

≥$40B 100%

Koploper van 13 uitkomsten

Voorspellers

20

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 15 minuten geleden

22 apr 26, 3:421 okt 26, 3:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

≥$50B92%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

Resolves each threshold based on the peak annualized revenue run rate for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before September 30, 2026. "Annualized revenue" means any reported revenue figure extrapolated to a yearly rate (monthly ×12, quarterly ×4, or explicitly stated ARR). ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO when the market resolves (see below).

Resolution timing.
Revenue disclosure cadence changes at IPO: pre-IPO, ARR figures leak ad-hoc through press; post-IPO, revenue arrives on a quarterly filing schedule with a ~40–45 day lag from quarter-end.
If Anthropic is still private at September 30, 2026: market resolves at close, based on figures published on or before September 30, 2026.
If Anthropic is public at September 30, 2026: market waits up to 45 days after September 30, 2026 for the quarter-ending 10-Q or earnings release, then resolves.
Post-IPO quarterly revenue is annualized as quarterly × 4 and attributed to quarter-end.

Volumetrend

$118

17 jul6d aan data28 jul

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Regels

Resolves each threshold based on the peak annualized revenue run rate for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before September 30, 2026. "Annualized revenue" means any reported revenue figure extrapolated to a yearly rate (monthly ×12, quarterly ×4, or explicitly stated ARR). ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO when the market resolves (see below).

Resolution timing.
Revenue disclosure cadence changes at IPO: pre-IPO, ARR figures leak ad-hoc through press; post-IPO, revenue arrives on a quarterly filing schedule with a ~40–45 day lag from quarter-end.
If Anthropic is still private at September 30, 2026: market resolves at close, based on figures published on or before September 30, 2026.
If Anthropic is public at September 30, 2026: market waits up to 45 days after September 30, 2026 for the quarter-ending 10-Q or earnings release, then resolves.
Post-IPO quarterly revenue is annualized as quarterly × 4 and attributed to quarter-end.