Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
0.5 ptn (24u)ExchangeOne-OffAITechEquitiesCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate3mnd
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Anthropic 91%+0.5pt
Marktkwaliteit
71 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 2,1K
Liquiditeit
€ 9,6K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
90.0% / 92.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
+0.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
19 mei 26, 20:26 UTC1 jan 27, 12:00 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
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PolymarketWhich of Anthropic and OpenAI will get more credit for the Navier-Stokes solution, in my judgement?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic or OpenAI add a higher tier subscription >= 400$ in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic or OpenAI revenue run rate exceed Tesla, SpaceX, and X combined by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger private market valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM), for December 31, 2026.
- NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
- If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.
- If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest available data.
- If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
- If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day.
