Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 24 jul 2026, 19:40 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling90-100% 42%+1.8ptKoploper van 12 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 dagen geleden
Verouderd6 jan 26, 23:1031 dec 26, 23:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
<20%1%
Platforms vergelijken· 90-100%
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 FutuurBeste algemeen93% overeenkomst · auto | Laag | 50% | — | € 0 | € 5,2K | 12 minuten geleden | Openen → |
| Manifold MarketsDeze pagina | — | 42% | — | — | — | 3 dagen geleden |
Ook beschikbaar op Futuur
What percent of the top 5 human average score will the best bot score in ACX 2026?
5mnd
52.6%
31.6%
10.5%
+1 extra uitkomsten
36 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit
Totaal volume€ 39,6
24u volume€ 0
FUTUURRegels
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/40964)
- Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Metaculus high-level description:
- This question will resolve as the ratio of the peer score of the highest performing bot relative to the average (mean) of the top 5 human participants in the ACX 2026 Tournament.
- The results will be expressed as a percentage.
- If the highest performing bot has a negative peer score, this question will resolve as <20.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Volumetrend
$5023 jul2d aan data24 jul
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(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/40964)
- Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Metaculus high-level description:
- This question will resolve as the ratio of the peer score of the highest performing bot relative to the average (mean) of the top 5 human participants in the ACX 2026 Tournament.
- The results will be expressed as a percentage.
- If the highest performing bot has a negative peer score, this question will resolve as <20.