Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 82%
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 19 uur geleden
Verouderd27 aug 26, 10:31 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
PolymarketWhat will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
PolymarketCongress approves Iran deal in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWhich of the following things will happen in 2026 as a result of the US Attack on Venezuela?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen as a result of the Delaney Hall protests?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if an agreement or treaty between Iran and Oman is finalized and implemented that prohibits military vessels from transiting the Strait of Hormuz, which legally or physically prevents U.S. military vessels (including the 5th Fleet) from passing through the strait to enter or exit the Persian Gulf.
- This market resolves to NO if:
- No such treaty is finalized and implemented by the cutoff date.
- A treaty is finalized but does not ban U.S. military vessels from transiting the strait.
- The blockade is lifted and military transit resumes without such restrictions.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-6.0pt74%
- September 18-6.0pt69%
- September 11-10.0pt61%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 363K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt3%
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+3.0pt79.2%
- Yes-3.0pt20.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 9,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 245,5K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.1%
- September 30-1.0pt12%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 301%
- July 310%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 62,8 mln.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor 5th Fleet Stranded as result of Iran Deal??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 82% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt 5th Fleet Stranded as result of Iran Deal? afgewikkeld?
- 5th Fleet Stranded as result of Iran Deal? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt 5th Fleet Stranded as result of Iran Deal? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria