Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling20000-24999 22.9%+1.3ptKoploper van 14 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
22
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+1.3 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd20 mei 26, 15:40 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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2026 Ebola epidemic deaths?
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PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves based on the consensus/best estimate of the suspected case count at the end of the epidemic, probably using numbers released by the WHO or on the Wikipedia page, unless there's good reason to believe that they have stopped updating these numbers reliably (this is probably unlikely).
- https://www.who.int/emergencies/disease-outbreak-news
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Ituri_Province_Ebola_epidemic
- If the epidemic expands into a pandemic or continues into 2027, the market will be extended as necessary.
- The "Other" category means any case counts larger than the current buckets.
- I may add more higher buckets from the "Other" category as necessary (if you're new to Manifold, don't worry, if you bet on Other, your shares will automatically be transferred onto any new buckets split off, this is fine and normal).
