LimitlessBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 77.2%
Nee 77.2%Marktkwaliteit
30 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden
25 aug 26, 13:55 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Philippines between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as melee weapons, missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Philippine military forces.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however, Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) is not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
2 handelsplatforms prijzen deze markt momenteel. De cross-platform referentiekans van CoinRithm voor CoinRithm-referentie is 23%.
CoinRithm-referentie 23% · 2 platforms · 0 pt spreiding tussen venues