Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
8.0 ptn (24u)One-OffWetenschapWeather
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Ja 75%-8.0pt
Marktkwaliteit
66 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 440,5
Liquiditeit
€ 4,5K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
75.0% / 77.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 minuten geleden
5 jun 25, 16:451 jan 50, 4:59
Trends
Regels
If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:NASA Goddard
Institute for Space StudiesNCEIBerkeley EarthUK Met Office Hadley Centre (HadCRUT)
- At least two of the Source Agencies must report that we have hit the 2.0°C threshold.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050??
- Kalshi prijst Yes op 75% per 1 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? afgewikkeld?
- Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2050 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.