KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before Jan 20, 2029 47.4%Koploper van 3 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
37 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 343,9
Lage liquiditeitSpread
5.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
9 jul 26, 00:00 UTC1 jan 27, 14:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
At the end of 2027 will both OpenAI and Anthropic be public companies?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketWho trades publicly first: OpenAI or Anthropic?
Manifold MarketsWhich months will Google OR OpenAI OR Anthropic release a new LLM
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiRegels
If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:The Financial TimesThe InformationMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforABCNBCThe Washington Postthe Associated PressReutersAxiosFox NewsCNNPoliticoBloomberg NewsCBSCNBCThe New York Times
- Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests.
- This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity.
- Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold.
- Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings.
- Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes.
Open markten
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 132,8K
- 24u volume
- € 100,3K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 322,4K
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic??
- Kalshi prijst Before Jan 20, 2029 op 47% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic? afgewikkeld?
- Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.