Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingOther 15%Koploper van 28 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
94
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-1.2 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd18 jan 26, 04:47 UTC31 dec 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Lucas Beyer (AI Researcher) work at either Anthropic or xAI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?
KalshiWhich months will Google OR OpenAI OR Anthropic release a new LLM
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI, Anthropic or Google cut API access to their text models, in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta release a model with context window >= 5M tokens before Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketRegels
This market matches Sum of OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI revenues from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.
- See the other manifold questions here
- [image]Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the best estimate of the sum of December 2026 annualized revenues (monthly revenue × 12) of OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI.
- The resolver will primarily rely on publicly reported figures from reliable news sources (e.g., The New York Times, Reuters, The Information, Bloomberg), official company statements, or direct announcements from company CEOs.
- If the most recent reports are from earlier in 2026, the resolver may extrapolate or use projections to estimate December revenue.