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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Will new tariffs become law?
Will new tariffs become law?

Will new tariffs become law?

One-OffTrade PolicyPolitiekVerkiezing20d
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026 3%
Marktkwaliteit

24 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 0

Liquiditeit

€ 22,5

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

1.0% / 2.9%

Spread

190.0%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden

20 feb 26, 22:001 jul 26, 14:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Before Jul 1, 20263%

Regels

If any legislation imposing new or increased tariffs has become law after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.

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Which tariffs will the House vote to eliminate before July?

Which tariffs will the House vote to eliminate before July?

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100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

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US x Cuba economic deal by...?

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Regels

If any legislation imposing new or increased tariffs has become law after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.