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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. US Politics
  3. Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?
Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?

Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?

4.0% (24u)One-OffUS PoliticsEurope19d
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ed Miliband
Ed Miliband 19%+4.0%
Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

28 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 1,7

Liquiditeit

€ 129,5

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

14.0% / 18.0%

Spread

28.6%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden

4 mei 26, 19:301 jul 26, 3:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Ed Miliband19%

Regels

If Rachel Reeves leaves as Chancellor before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Rachel Reeves must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
  • Note: A Cabinet reshuffle in which the individual ceases to hold the specified role but remains a member of the Cabinet still qualifies as leaving the role
  • If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
  • Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
  • If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.

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Regels

If Rachel Reeves leaves as Chancellor before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Rachel Reeves must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
  • Note: A Cabinet reshuffle in which the individual ceases to hold the specified role but remains a member of the Cabinet still qualifies as leaving the role
  • If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
  • Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
  • If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.