KalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdDeze markt is gesloten en wacht op bevestigde afwikkeling.
Wacht op geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm wacht op door de provider bevestigde afwikkeling voordat deze markt als beslist wordt behandeld.
Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 23 okt 2026, 13:55 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige impliciete kans
Xiaomi 93.2%Koploper van 13 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Xiaomi 93.2%Marktkwaliteit
14 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,8
Open interest
US$ 203
Lage open interestMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd16 okt 26, 16:00 UTC23 okt 26, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Xiaomi93.2%
GLM6.8%
Kimi0%
DeepSeek0%
MiniMax0%
Thinking Machines0%
Nvidia0%
Mistral0%
Google0%
OpenAI0%
Cohere0%
Alibaba0%
Meta0%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the US and/or China ban at least two open-source AI models before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill an open-source AI model top the LMSYS Leaderboard at the end of 2026?
FutuurUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PolymarketWill POTUS issue an executive order aiming to mitigate security risks associated with open-source AI models before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. ban any open-source AI model in 2026?
KalshiWill open-source AI remain at least one year behind proprietary AI? (ACX, AI 2027 #4)
Manifold MarketsRegels
De exacte regel voor deze uitkomst is niet beschikbaar.
Afwikkeling via:Artificial Analysis - Open Source
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Regels per uitkomst
- Xiaomi
- If Xiaomi is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 23, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- GLM
- If GLM is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 23, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kimi
- If Kimi is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 23, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- DeepSeek
- If DeepSeek is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 23, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- MiniMax
- If MiniMax is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 23, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Thinking Machines
- If Thinking Machines is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 23, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nvidia
- If Nvidia is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 23, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mistral
- If Mistral is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 23, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Google is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 23, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- OpenAI
- If OpenAI is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 23, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cohere
- If Cohere is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 23, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alibaba
- If Alibaba is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 23, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Meta
- If Meta is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 23, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.