KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdMiddenprijs van geselecteerd orderboek
Nee · —
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
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Opgeslagen prijs
Nee 90.5%
Nee 90.5%Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 23,2
Open interest
US$ 2,5K
Lage open interestBied / Laat
— / —
NeeSpread
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 minuten geleden
7 okt 26, 23:30 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Grafiek en wijzigingen tonen opgeslagen historische kansen, niet het geselecteerde actuele orderboek.
Trends
Geselecteerde rij: middenprijs van het orderboek. Andere rijen: opgeslagen, mogelijk genormaliseerde referenties; wijzigingen over 24 uur gebruiken opgeslagen historie.
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Marktdiepte · Nee
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
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Will the US and/or China ban at least two open-source AI models before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRegels
De exacte regel voor deze uitkomst is niet beschikbaar.
- Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the measure to become legally binding. Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and satisfaction of any required procedural steps for implementation; a delayed effective date does not prevent enactment Administrative regulations, including export controls: completion of required rulemaking procedures and final publication in the official government record; a binding interim final rule counts once published Other governmental measures: official issuance in final, legally binding form The following do NOT constitute enactment: Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders or proposed rules Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges. A qualifying measure counts once enacted or issued, regardless of a later effective date. For this market, a “ban on open-source AI models” means a legally binding federal measure that prohibits distribution to, or access to or use by, the general public in the United States of at least one general-purpose large language or multimodal foundation model whose weights are publicly downloadable and usable on user-controlled hardware, such as Llama, Mistral, DeepSeek or Qwen. Source-available models qualify regardless of license restrictions on acceptable use. The measure may target one model, a named developer or country, or all such models, and may be temporary or indefinite, provided it bars ordinary public access through ordinary channels in the United States, even if copies remain available from foreign sources or prior downloads. A measure limited to government devices, federal contractors or procurement; a measure that bars only hosted apps, websites, chatbot or API services offering the model, or removes the model from only one app store, hosting provider or other single channel, while U.S. hosts may still lawfully distribute the model's weights to the public; an export control that restricts only transfers abroad; a state or local measure; a licensing, registration or reporting requirement that does not bar public access to an existing model; or a measure covering only narrow or special-purpose, deprecated, research-only or preview-only models does NOT qualify.
Regels per uitkomst
- No
- De exacte regel voor deze uitkomst is niet beschikbaar.
- Yes
- De exacte regel voor deze uitkomst is niet beschikbaar.