Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jul 2026?

RegelgevingOne-OffTrade Policy Politiek US Politics Verkiezing27d

KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten

Huidige impliciete kans

Ja 36%

Marktkwaliteit

49 / 100

Lage kwaliteit

24u volume

€ 0

Liquiditeit

€ 50,5

Lage liquiditeit

Bied / Laat

37.0% / 38.0%

Spread

2.7%

Strakke spread

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden

1 jul 26, 14:001 aug 26, 3:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes36%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

If the President announces a new trade deal before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For the purposes of this Contract, an announcement must satisfy ALL of the following criteria:
Made through official channels including White House press conferences, official White House statements, presidential speeches, official presidential social media accounts, or official presidential appearances Explicitly describes the arrangement as a "trade deal," "trade agreement," "trade memorandum," "trade pact," or uses substantially similar language indicating a formal trade arrangement Involves at least one foreign country, territory, or international trade bloc
Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
It also includes modifications or re-negotiated versions of previous agreements.
New arrangements include, but are not limited to:

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EthereumETH$1,788.52+3.11%

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Regels

If the President announces a new trade deal before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For the purposes of this Contract, an announcement must satisfy ALL of the following criteria:
Made through official channels including White House press conferences, official White House statements, presidential speeches, official presidential social media accounts, or official presidential appearances Explicitly describes the arrangement as a "trade deal," "trade agreement," "trade memorandum," "trade pact," or uses substantially similar language indicating a formal trade arrangement Involves at least one foreign country, territory, or international trade bloc
Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
It also includes modifications or re-negotiated versions of previous agreements.
New arrangements include, but are not limited to:

Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jul 2026?

RegelgevingOne-OffTrade Policy Politiek US Politics Verkiezing27d

KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten

Huidige impliciete kans

Ja 36%

Marktkwaliteit

49 / 100

Lage kwaliteit

24u volume

€ 0

Liquiditeit

€ 50,5

Lage liquiditeit

Bied / Laat

37.0% / 38.0%

Spread

2.7%

Strakke spread

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden

1 jul 26, 14:001 aug 26, 3:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes36%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

If the President announces a new trade deal before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For the purposes of this Contract, an announcement must satisfy ALL of the following criteria:
Made through official channels including White House press conferences, official White House statements, presidential speeches, official presidential social media accounts, or official presidential appearances Explicitly describes the arrangement as a "trade deal," "trade agreement," "trade memorandum," "trade pact," or uses substantially similar language indicating a formal trade arrangement Involves at least one foreign country, territory, or international trade bloc
Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
It also includes modifications or re-negotiated versions of previous agreements.
New arrangements include, but are not limited to:

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€ 900,4

Ja: 8.7%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

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€ 57,7

Ja: 38.3%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

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Ja: 57%

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€ 272,5

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Ja: 13.2%

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Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

€ 5,7K

Before 2027: 9%

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$62,866.50+1.26%

EthereumETH$1,788.52+3.11%

SolanaSOL$82.23+1.02%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0786+2.63%

XRPXRP$1.17+4.42%

BNBBNB$576.02+1.75%

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Europe is rewriting its landmark crypto rulebook MiCA as hard July 1 deadline passesCoindesk

Taiwan Passes Sweeping Crypto Law With Licensing, Stablecoin RulesDecrypt

Last-minute MiCA approvals mark end of EU transition periodCointelegraph

Europe’s MiCA crypto regime is fully in force: Here’s who wins and losesThe Block

Utorg Obtains MiCA License as July 1 Deadline Forces Much of the Industry Out of EuropeBlockchain Reporter

Regels

If the President announces a new trade deal before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For the purposes of this Contract, an announcement must satisfy ALL of the following criteria:
Made through official channels including White House press conferences, official White House statements, presidential speeches, official presidential social media accounts, or official presidential appearances Explicitly describes the arrangement as a "trade deal," "trade agreement," "trade memorandum," "trade pact," or uses substantially similar language indicating a formal trade arrangement Involves at least one foreign country, territory, or international trade bloc
Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
It also includes modifications or re-negotiated versions of previous agreements.
New arrangements include, but are not limited to: