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  2. Commodities
  3. Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

1.0% (24u)CommoditiesYearlyGeopolitiekMacro & Economy6mnd
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 31%+1.0%
Marktkwaliteit

28 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 0,1

Liquiditeit

€ 44

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

31.0% / 35.0%

Spread

12.9%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden

28 apr 26, 15:001 jan 27, 4:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes31%

PolymarketOok beschikbaar op Polymarket

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

0.5%6mnd
Ja
Ja
+0.0%26%
Nee
Nee
74%
60 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitGematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit
Totaal volume€ 91,4K
24u volume€ 91
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regels

If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
  • Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
  • The following do NOT qualify:
  • Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments

Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
  • Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
  • The following do NOT qualify:
  • Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments