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  • Home
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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Middle East
  3. Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/25 - 5/31)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/25 - 5/31)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/25 - 5/31)

10.0% (24u)Middle EastOne-Off
KalshiKalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten

Deze markt is beslist: Above 30 (99%)

Afgewikkeld: 2 jun 2026, 15:33

Winnende Uitkomst

Above 30

Op 7 dagen afstand

—

Op 24 uur afstand

28%

Verrassing
Huidige impliciete kans
Above 40
Above 40 1%-10.0%
Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

40 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 536,5

Liquiditeit

€ 1K

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

- / 100.0%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 11 dagen geleden

Verouderd
27 mei 26, 13:002 jun 26, 13:00

Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn

Above 4010%
Above 501%
Above 3099%
Above 2554%
Above 1591%
Above 2072%
Above 1099%
Above 1001%
Above 751%
Above 599%
0%25%50%75%100%1 jun2 jun2 jun
Uitkomst24uKans
Above 40
Above 40
-10.0%
1%
Above 50
Above 50
-2.0%
1%
Above 30
Above 30
+62.0%
99%
Above 25
Above 25
+39.0%
99%
Above 15
Above 15
+2.0%
99%
Above 20
Above 20
+10.0%
99%

Deze markt is gesloten. Oefenhandel is alleen beschikbaar op open markten.

Regels

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The total is calculated by summing daily counts from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026.
  • The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Gerelateerde Markten

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/8 - 6/14)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/8 - 6/14)

€ 125,5
Above 30: 31%KalshiKALSHI
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

€ 6,5 mln.
December 31: 83%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

€ 4,1 mln.
July 31: 89%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

€ 1,2 mln.
Ja: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30? [Polymarket]

€ 30,7K
Ja: 46%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? [Polymarket]

€ 15,4K
Ja: 20%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$64,166.08+1.14%EthereumETH$1,679.46+0.79%SolanaSOL$67.86+1.58%DogecoinDOGE$0.0882+1.44%XRPXRP$1.15+1.59%BNBBNB$608.90+0.40%

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Regels

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The total is calculated by summing daily counts from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026.
  • The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.